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Brazil Special Report: Abandon all hope?

Sep 1, 2008

A secondary nosedive for OGX following a jumbo IPO adds to the gloom in Brazilian equity. There are hopes of a rebound, but the short-term outlook is bleak.

Keywords: Brazil IPO equity follow-on pipeline ECM

by John Rumsey

Eike Batista’s ability to launch a $4 billion IPO for his OGX petroleum company in the face of tempestuous market conditions lightened the gloom in Brazil’s equity capital markets late spring. But celebrations were short-lived. OGX shares plunged more than 50% in the first two months of trade, while the Bovespa dropped more than 20%.

OGX suggested that at least commodities were immune from the market slump. But Vale’s disappointing $11.6 billion global equity issue, the largest ever follow-on from the Brazilian market has given the market the willies. The mid-July deal secured just 75% of targeted funds at a discount of 5.4%-6.4% depending on share class, and Vale plunged some 40% over two months to July, albeit after a large run up.

Primary market data starkly illustrate how quickly conditions have soured. In...

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